Kozarmisleny 1-0 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +24%
1.13/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.02
-14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozarmisleny
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-3 HT 0-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
05.02.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
14.08.2022 Ajka Ajka 4-2 HT 2-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozarmisleny
1-0
AWAY Ajka
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kozarmisleny vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozarmisleny edged past Ajka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kozarmisleny as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kozarmisleny had 60% of the ball to Ajka's 40%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kozarmisleny and 1.67 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Kozarmisleny vs Ajka?

Kozarmisleny 1-0 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozarmisleny vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozarmisleny win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kozarmisleny 42%, draw 24%, Ajka 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kozarmisleny), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kozarmisleny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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