Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
04.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 1-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
17.04.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
13.11.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
14.08.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
14.03.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal and Jalapa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Ocotal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.17 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 45%, draw 24%, Jalapa 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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