Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.43/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.35
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
2-1
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
57% Ball Possession 43%
29 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II nicked a narrow win over Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Zaglebie Lubin II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 57% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 43%, shots finished 29-11.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 36%, draw 27%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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