Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 2-5 Malatya Arguvanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Malatya Arguvanspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.29
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Malatya Arguvanspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.12.2023 Malatya Arguvanspor Malatya Arguvanspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor S3-1
POST-MATCH Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malatya Arguvanspor ran out comfortable winners over Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor?

Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 2-5 Malatya Arguvanspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 59%, draw 21%, Malatya Arguvanspor 20%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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