Karaköprü Belediyespor 2-1 Osmaniyespor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karaköprü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Osmaniyespor FK EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.42/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karaköprü Belediyespor
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Osmaniyespor FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Osmaniyespor FK Osmaniyespor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Karaköprü Belediyespor Karaköprü Belediyespor S3-3
22.10.2020 Karaköprü Belediyespor Karaköprü Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Osmaniyespor FK Osmaniyespor FK TÜK
POST-MATCH Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karaköprü Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Osmaniyespor FK 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karaköprü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karaköprü Belediyespor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karaköprü Belediyespor and 0.50 for Osmaniyespor FK.

What was the final score of Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor FK?

Karaköprü Belediyespor 2-1 Osmaniyespor FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karaköprü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karaköprü Belediyespor 51%, draw 25%, Osmaniyespor FK 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karaköprü Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karaköprü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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