NK Brinje 2-1 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 17%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.33
-23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
30.04.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-1 HT 0-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
15.10.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 1-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje nicked a narrow win over Jadran Dekani 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Brinje and 1.00 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Jadran Dekani?

NK Brinje 2-1 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 54%, draw 23%, Jadran Dekani 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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