21/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Uşak Spor vs Menemen FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
15%
Draw
15%
63%
Away Win
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uşak Spor v Menemen FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Uşak Spor
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Menemen FK
EU Bookmakers 80%
-21% /
-21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
1.00/4.46
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.61/1.61
+58%
/
-62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+30%
/
-70%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
208 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
454 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
Uşak Spor vs Menemen FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Uşak Spor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Menemen FK
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
10.12.2023
Menemen FK
4-1
HT 1-1
Uşak Spor
S2-K
4-1
HT 1-1
Uşak Spor
S2-K
POST-MATCH
Uşak Spor vs Menemen FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Menemen FK cruised past Uşak Spor 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Menemen FK as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Uşak Spor vs Menemen FK?
Uşak Spor 0-4 Menemen FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uşak Spor vs Menemen FK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Uşak Spor 22%, draw 15%, Menemen FK 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Menemen FK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Menemen FK)
✓ Over 2.5
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T2L-K
More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
21 Apr 2024