SC Villa 1-1 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.63/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/3.51
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bright Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.02.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 0-2 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
04.01.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-1
AWAY Bright Stars
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Bright Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SC Villa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 62% of the ball to Bright Stars's 38%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bright Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SC Villa and 1.50 for Bright Stars.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Bright Stars?

SC Villa 1-1 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 52%, draw 29%, Bright Stars 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SC Villa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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