Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-16.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.14/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polessya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.10.2023 Polessya Polessya 3-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev cruised past Polessya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya?

Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 53%, draw 26%, Polessya 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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