Gosport Borough 1-2 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.30/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.32
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.12.2024 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 3-1 HT 1-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville edged past Gosport Borough 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Gosport Borough 1-2 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 29%, draw 26%, Havant & Waterlooville 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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