Marlow 1-4 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
17%
4.49
Away Pick
65%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
40%
4-5
31%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
46%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Basingstoke Town win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.2pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.0pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marlow EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 70%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.18/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
242 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marlow
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.12.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Marlow Marlow İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Marlow vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town cruised past Marlow 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basingstoke Town as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Marlow vs Basingstoke Town?

Marlow 1-4 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marlow vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Marlow 18%, draw 17%, Basingstoke Town 65%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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