Annecy 0-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.8
Over
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No Pick
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
3.01
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
19%
3.74
6+
7%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.01 — our 34% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.68
1/2
7%
24.65
1/X
6%
18.9
X/1
5%
11.1
X/2
25%
3.88
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.02
2/X
5%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.17/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.06
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -37%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
13.7 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lorient
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
19.10.2024 Lorient Lorient 4-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
0-0
AWAY Lorient
0.71 xG 0.86
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
138 Passes 383
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy and Lorient fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lorient at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Annecy had 31% of the ball to Lorient's 69%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Lorient?

Annecy 0-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Annecy 19%, draw 25%, Lorient 56%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lorient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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