Twente (K) 5-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.77
-100% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajax (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
221 Passes 398
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 26
09.11.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
03.03.2024 Twente (K) Twente (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
5-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
24 Total Shots 17
14 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
183 Passes 334
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) swept aside Ajax (K) 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Twente (K) had 38% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 62%, shots finished 24-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Twente (K) and 2.50 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Twente (K) 5-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 46%, draw 24%, Ajax (K) 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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