Ario Eslamshahr 0-2 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
76%
1.33
Over
24%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
48%
1.72
2-3
37%
1.89
4-5
10%
7.95
6+
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.6pp
37%
Draw
34%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
76%
Under 2.5
72%
+4.2pp
24%
Over 2.5
28%
-4.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.9pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.97/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.50
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +104%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.12.2024 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin saw off Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 37% / 33%) promised a tight game; Paykan Qazvin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Paykan Qazvin?

Ario Eslamshahr 0-2 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 30%, draw 37%, Paykan Qazvin 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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