Ranheim 1-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ranheim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.48/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.57
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ranheim
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sogndal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 0-2 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
20.07.2024 Ranheim Ranheim 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
02.09.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-2 HT 0-2 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
21.05.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 2-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
17.09.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
17.07.2022 Ranheim Ranheim 3-3 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ranheim
1-2
AWAY Sogndal
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ranheim vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal squeezed past Ranheim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sogndal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ranheim had 62% of the ball to Sogndal's 38%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ranheim had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ranheim and 1.00 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Ranheim vs Sogndal?

Ranheim 1-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ranheim vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ranheim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ranheim 37%, draw 26%, Sogndal 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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