Sfax Railways 1-1 Kerkennah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 21 Apr 2025

Sfax Railways
1-1
Kerkennah
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sfax Railways v Kerkennah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 23%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.00
+82% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sfax Railways
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerkennah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Kerkennah Kerkennah 1-2 Sfax Railways TUN2

Sfax Railways 1-1 Kerkennah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sfax Railways
1-1
AWAY Kerkennah
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways and Kerkennah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sfax Railways at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Sfax Railways had 51% of the ball to Kerkennah's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah?

Sfax Railways 1-1 Kerkennah in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sfax Railways 47%, draw 25%, Kerkennah 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sfax Railways), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →