United of Manchester 1-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +26%
1.79/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.30
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Stockton Town 2-3 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
29.03.2025 United of Manchester United of Manchester 0-1 HT 0-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
23.11.2024 Stockton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United of Manchester
1-1
AWAY Stockton Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester and Stockton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was United of Manchester at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, United of Manchester had 50% of the ball to Stockton Town's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stockton Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for United of Manchester and 1.33 for Stockton Town.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Stockton Town?

United of Manchester 1-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 45%, draw 23%, Stockton Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (United of Manchester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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