Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.21
2-3
47%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.41
6+
5%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.17
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.11
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
17%
4.63
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.45
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 3% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Chelsea
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 420
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 1-3 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 2-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea FAK
28.09.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 4-2 HT 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 3-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
AWAY Chelsea
2.14 xG 0.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 400
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brighton & Hove Albion cruised past Chelsea 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Brighton & Hove Albion made the difference. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 53% of the ball to Chelsea's 47%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.14 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.83 for Chelsea.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Result & Final Score

Brighton & Hove Albion 3 - 0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 40%, draw 28%, Chelsea 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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