Konyaspor 1-0 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.97
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
12%
4.77
X/X
14%
4.23
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 46%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
2.04/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.22
+39% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.61 xG 3.02
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
249 Passes 452
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 3-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
31.05.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
13.01.2025 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-3 HT 2-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.05.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
10.01.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 7-1 HT 5-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
25.02.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 2-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-0
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.11 xG 1.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
318 Passes 646
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor nicked a narrow win over Fenerbahçe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Konyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 36% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 64%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.11 to 1.89 — on chances, Fenerbahçe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Konyaspor and 3.33 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Konyaspor 1-0 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Cup on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 31%, draw 29%, Fenerbahçe 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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