Göteborg 1-0 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.25
1/2
10%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.9
X/2
9%
6.12
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
20%
4.45
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.15
-41% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.8 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mjallby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 0.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.06.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-4 HT 0-3 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.07.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.03.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
24.10.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-0
AWAY Mjallby
1.36 xG 0.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg squeezed past Mjallby 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Göteborg had 47% of the ball to Mjallby's 53%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Göteborg and 1.00 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Mjallby?

Göteborg 1-0 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 38%, draw 24%, Mjallby 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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