Keflavik 3-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/2.15
-44% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 5-0 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
22.08.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 2-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
15.02.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
3-0
AWAY Afturelding
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 8
16 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik ran out comfortable winners over Afturelding 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Keflavik made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Keflavik had 56% of the ball to Afturelding's 44%, shots finished 28-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Afturelding?

Keflavik 3-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 41%, draw 23%, Afturelding 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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