Huachipato 0-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.33/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.23
-6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
26.2 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
20.05.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
10.07.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
13.02.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-1 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
25.10.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
20.07.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-3 HT 2-2 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
0-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.54 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano edged past Huachipato 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Audax Italiano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Huachipato had 56% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.54 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huachipato had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Huachipato and 1.00 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Audax Italiano?

Huachipato 0-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 40%, draw 30%, Audax Italiano 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Huachipato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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