Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.31/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.24
-27% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.3 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
208 Passes 303
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.05.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.08.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
16.04.2022 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.10.2021 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
18.05.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-0
AWAY Orense
0.60 xG 0.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
335 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario edged past Orense 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Tecnico Universitario made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 48% of the ball to Orense's 52%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.60 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.83 for Orense.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Orense?

Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 39%, draw 30%, Orense 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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