Metta / LU Riga 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 May 2024

Metta / LU Riga
1-1 HT 0-0
FK Tukums 2000
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+12.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metta / LU Riga v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 31%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.71
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.3 Crosses 20.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.91 xG 2.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 248
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
23.09.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
13.05.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-2 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
02.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
17.09.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.99 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
404 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and FK Tukums 2000 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 56% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 44%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.99 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.17 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000?

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 37%, draw 23%, FK Tukums 2000 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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