Moss 2-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

Moss
2-1 HT 1-0
Start
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Start Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Start — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.61/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.61
+0% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Moss vs Start Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Start
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
10.04.2023 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
29.06.2022 Moss Moss 0-3 HT 0-1 Start Start NOK
12.10.2008 Moss Moss 4-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
06.07.2008 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
02.07.2008 Moss Moss 2-3 HT 1-3 Start Start NOK

Moss 2-1 Start — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
2-1
AWAY Start
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moss vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss squeezed past Start 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Moss had 56% of the ball to Start's 44%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Start led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moss and 1.00 for Start.

What was the final score of Moss vs Start?

Moss 2-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moss 50%, draw 28%, Start 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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