Simba 4-1 Geita Gold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-47.0pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.2pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Geita Gold EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.74/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.98
+39% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Geita Gold
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.12.2021 Simba Simba 2-1 Geita Gold Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
4-1
AWAY Geita Gold
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Simba vs Geita Gold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba ran out comfortable winners over Geita Gold 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Simba made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Simba had 59% of the ball to Geita Gold's 41%, shots finished 24-8.

What was the final score of Simba vs Geita Gold?

Simba 4-1 Geita Gold in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Geita Gold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Simba 33%, draw 33%, Geita Gold 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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