Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 May 2024

Deportivo Maldonado
0-2 HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maldonado v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.06/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.88
+22% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
18.06.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
18.03.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
31.07.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 2-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.02.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
13.11.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU

Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football saw off Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 38% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 62%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.33 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 27%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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