Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 21 May 2025

Vasteras SK FK
1-0 HT 0-0
Östersunds FK
📅21/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Vasteras SK FK vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.0
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
13%
4.05
X/2
8%
10.95
X/X
13%
5.7
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
10%
9.02
2/X
8%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasteras SK FK v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.50/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
-19% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vasteras SK FK vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
04.06.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
06.03.2023 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇK
03.09.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
11.04.2022 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2

Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Östersunds FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK nicked a narrow win over Östersunds FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasteras SK FK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 36% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 64%, shots finished 6-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.60 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Östersunds FK?

Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 49%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasteras SK FK), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Under 2.5
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