Incheon Red Angels (K) 0-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞLK, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
41%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.8
Over 2.5
59%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
18%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+12.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
57%
-15.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.5pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon Red Angels (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon Red Angels (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon Red Angels (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) nicked a narrow win over Incheon Red Angels (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon Red Angels (K) had 47% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 53%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Incheon Red Angels (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Incheon Red Angels (K) 0-1 Melbourne City (K) in the AFCŞLK on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon Red Angels (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Incheon Red Angels (K) 32%, draw 27%, Melbourne City (K) 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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