Al Qadsia 3-2 Burgan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 21 May 2025

Al Qadsia
3-2 HT 2-0
Burgan
📅21/05/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Kuwait - Emir Cup – 2024/2025

Al Qadsia vs Burgan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Qadsia v Burgan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgan EU Bookmakers 9%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.70/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.41
-11% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +46%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Qadsia 3-2 Burgan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qadsia
3-2
AWAY Burgan
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Burgan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia edged past Burgan 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Qadsia had 55% of the ball to Burgan's 45%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Burgan?

Al Qadsia 3-2 Burgan in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Burgan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 67%, draw 19%, Burgan 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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