Petrojet 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrojet
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.68 xG 2.40
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
152 Passes 428
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Petrojet Petrojet 0-2 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.02.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 4-1 HT 3-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
1-0
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrojet squeezed past Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Petrojet found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Petrojet had 40% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 60%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Petrojet and 3.00 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Petrojet 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 34%, draw 28%, Ceramica Cleopatra 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ BTTS No
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