Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najma v Al Ittihad — Team-Based Signals
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Al Ittihad
BAHK
1-2
HT 1-0
Al Ittihad
BAHK
Al Najma 2-1 Al Ittihad — Actual Match Statistics
Al Najma edged past Al Ittihad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Al Najma had 62% of the ball to Al Ittihad's 38%, shots finished 13-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Najma and 1.00 for Al Ittihad.
What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Ittihad?
Al Najma 2-1 Al Ittihad in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Ittihad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 49%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.