Washington Spirit (K) 1-0 Pachuca (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.0
Over
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Washington Spirit (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+117% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +67%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
POST-MATCH Washington Spirit (K) vs Pachuca (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Washington Spirit (K) nicked a narrow win over Pachuca (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Washington Spirit (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Washington Spirit (K) vs Pachuca (K)?

Washington Spirit (K) 1-0 Pachuca (K) in the CONK on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Washington Spirit (K) vs Pachuca (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Washington Spirit (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Washington Spirit (K) 56%, draw 25%, Pachuca (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Washington Spirit (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Washington Spirit (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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