ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sporting Delhi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ATK Mohun Bagan v Sporting Delhi — Team-Based Signals
ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Sporting Delhi — Actual Match Statistics
ATK Mohun Bagan edged past Sporting Delhi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 63% of the ball to Sporting Delhi's 37%, shots finished 39-6, expected goals 4.84 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ATK Mohun Bagan's control.
What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sporting Delhi?
ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Sporting Delhi in the India - Super League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sporting Delhi?
Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 71%, draw 15%, Sporting Delhi 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.