Nassaji Mazandaran 2-0 Navad Urmia FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.95
No
58%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
49%
1.71
4-5 Goals
11%
4.83
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.71 — our 49% vs market 48.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.7pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
30%
+12.0pp
58%
BTTS No
70%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.35/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.69
-14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +106%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Navad Urmia FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.10.2025 Navad Urmia FC Navad Urmia FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran beat Navad Urmia FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nassaji Mazandaran as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia FC?

Nassaji Mazandaran 2-0 Navad Urmia FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 65%, draw 19%, Navad Urmia FC 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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