Frösö 3-5 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Jun 2024

Frösö
3-5 HT 3-1
Bergnäsets
📅21/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Frösö vs Bergnäsets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
35%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
35%
Away Win
50%
-14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frösö v Bergnäsets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frösö EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 54%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.18/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

Frösö vs Bergnäsets Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frösö
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bergnäsets
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-4 HT 0-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Frösö Frösö 1-1 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.10.2021 Frösö Frösö 2-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 2-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Frösö vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets got the better of Frösö 5-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bergnäsets found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Frösö had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Frösö and 1.75 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Frösö vs Bergnäsets?

Frösö 3-5 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frösö vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frösö win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Frösö 36%, draw 29%, Bergnäsets 35%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frösö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frösö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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