Adama City 2-3 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.5pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 43%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+126% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
2-3
AWAY Bahardar
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar squeezed past Adama City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bahardar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adama City had 48% of the ball to Bahardar's 52%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Bahardar?

Adama City 2-3 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adama City 30%, draw 24%, Bahardar 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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