Chuncheon Citizen 1-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.3pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.41/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3 Corners 3
09.09.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
17.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
30.03.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GKOK
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen and Paju Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 0.67 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Chuncheon Citizen 1-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 31%, draw 34%, Paju Citizen 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paju Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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