Zamalek 2-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jun 2024

Zamalek
2-0 HT 1-0
Pharco
📅21/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Zamalek vs Pharco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 35% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zamalek v Pharco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.41/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.12
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.0 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Zamalek vs Pharco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pharco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.81
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
445 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.12.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.07.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.06.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 3-1 Pharco Pharco MSRK
06.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
12.04.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR

Zamalek 2-0 Pharco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
2-0
AWAY Pharco
1.64 xG 0.46
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
458 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek beat Pharco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 65% of the ball to Pharco's 35%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamalek and 1.00 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Pharco?

Zamalek 2-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 46%, draw 27%, Pharco 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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