Forward Madison 2-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Jun 2024

Forward Madison
2-0 HT 1-0
Union Omaha
📅21/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.20/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.02
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.3 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
348 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
28.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
26.03.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
01.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.07.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
10.04.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1

Forward Madison 2-0 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-0
AWAY Union Omaha
1.47 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
338 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison saw off Union Omaha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 49% of the ball to Union Omaha's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.47 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forward Madison and 1.00 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

Forward Madison 2-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 29%, draw 25%, Union Omaha 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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