Legia Varşova 2-3 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.0pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 25%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/1.00
-100% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / +74%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.89 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
18.10.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
14.10.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.12.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.07.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
20.02.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-2 HT 3-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 0.83 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Wisla Plock?

Legia Varşova 2-3 Wisla Plock in the Friendlies on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 50%, draw 23%, Wisla Plock 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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