Dacia-Buiucani 5-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.15
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -25%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-4 HT 1-2 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
5-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dacia-Buiucani swept aside Sparta Selemet 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dacia-Buiucani as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dacia-Buiucani had 67% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 33%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet?

Dacia-Buiucani 5-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dacia-Buiucani win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dacia-Buiucani 61%, draw 20%, Sparta Selemet 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dacia-Buiucani), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dacia-Buiucani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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