21/06/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Vag vs Djerv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
27%
Draw
21%
37%
Away Win
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vag v Djerv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vag
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Djerv
EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
2.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.94/1.95
+11%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
-16%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
265 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
410 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Vag vs Djerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Djerv got the better of Vag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Djerv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (70%) came in.
What was the final score of Vag vs Djerv?
Vag 1-3 Djerv in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vag vs Djerv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Djerv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vag 36%, draw 27%, Djerv 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Djerv)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
21 Jun 2025