İtalya U19 (K) 1-2 Fransa U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
42%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.1pp
43%
Away Win
59%
-16.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
166 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U19 (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fransa U19 (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 133
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
30.06.2022 İtalya U19 (K) İtalya U19 (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Fransa U19 (K) Fransa U19 (K) U19K
05.03.2019 İtalya U19 (K) İtalya U19 (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Fransa U19 (K) Fransa U19 (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U19 (K)
1-2
AWAY Fransa U19 (K)
0.86 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
377 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U19 (K) squeezed past İtalya U19 (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa U19 (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U19 (K) had 50% of the ball to Fransa U19 (K)'s 50%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.86 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İtalya U19 (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İtalya U19 (K) and 1.00 for Fransa U19 (K).

What was the final score of İtalya U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)?

İtalya U19 (K) 1-2 Fransa U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split İtalya U19 (K) 27%, draw 31%, Fransa U19 (K) 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U19 (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U19 (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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