IK Brage 5-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 21 Jun 2026

IK Brage
5-1 HT 2-1
IFK Varnamo
📅21/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

IK Brage vs IFK Varnamo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.92
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
11%
5.37
X/2
11%
6.85
X/X
9%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
13%
4.27
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v IFK Varnamo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
1.77/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.73
+9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

IK Brage vs IFK Varnamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.11.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 3-1 HT 3-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
24.04.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
28.07.2018 IK Brage IK Brage 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
30.06.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 HT 1-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
29.08.2013 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
06.05.2013 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage swept aside IFK Varnamo 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Brage and 1.33 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs IFK Varnamo?

IK Brage 5-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Superettan on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 46%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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