Antofagasta 4-2 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antofagasta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.74/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.94
+37% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
Crosses 12.3
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antofagasta
1W-5D-0L
AWAY La Serena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 310
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 1-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİLİB
17.07.2022 La Serena La Serena 0-1 HT 0-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
20.02.2022 Antofagasta Antofagasta 2-2 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
09.11.2021 Antofagasta Antofagasta 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
02.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
11.01.2021 Antofagasta Antofagasta 2-2 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
POST-MATCH Antofagasta vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antofagasta got the better of La Serena 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antofagasta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antofagasta had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antofagasta and 1.00 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Antofagasta vs La Serena?

Antofagasta 4-2 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antofagasta vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antofagasta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Antofagasta 43%, draw 24%, La Serena 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antofagasta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antofagasta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİLİK More Chile - Cup
21 Jun 2026
00:30 Recoleta vs Colo Colo Analysis →
01:00 CD Everton vs San Luis De Quillota Analysis →
01:00 CSD Rangers vs Universidad Concepcion Analysis →
19:30 Huachipato vs Puerto Montt Analysis →
22:00 Union La Calera vs Union San Felipe Analysis →
22:00 Deportes Temuco vs Concepcion Analysis →