Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.9pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+12.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.00
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
331 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
01.08.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
20.03.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
12.12.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-3 HT 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
25.11.2019 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste edged past Deportivo Moron 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Ferro Carril Oeste made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.00 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Moron?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 38%, draw 25%, Deportivo Moron 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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