Karvina 1-3 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.37
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.57/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.79
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 69%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
29.5 Crosses 24.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.61 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 290
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
30.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 5-2 HT 3-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
17.04.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.02.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
20.09.2020 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-3
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.33 xG 2.49
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
366 Passes 164
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec saw off Karvina 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Slovan Liberec made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karvina had 64% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 36%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.33 to 2.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karvina and 1.50 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Slovan Liberec?

Karvina 1-3 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karvina 38%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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