Dnepr Rogachev 3-1 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.22
-51% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
5 Corners 8
19.08.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 2-5 HT 0-3 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
14.04.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 3-1 HT 0-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
3-1
AWAY Ostrovets FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev beat Ostrovets FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 57% of the ball to Ostrovets FC's 43%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Rogachev had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Dnepr Rogachev and 1.50 for Ostrovets FC.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Ostrovets FC?

Dnepr Rogachev 3-1 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 56%, draw 22%, Ostrovets FC 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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