Sporting San Jose 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.19/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.66
+4% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
206 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.01.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
25.09.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.07.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
30.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.02.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose saw off Deportivo Saprissa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 57%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.67 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Sporting San Jose 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 23%, draw 24%, Deportivo Saprissa 52%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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